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Wednesday, February 13, 2008 | 9:55am
Election Update: Highbrid’s McCain and Obama Win Big, Sweeping the ‘Potomac Primaries’
Clinton’s left looking for answers hopefully in Texas.
It’s beginning to look like Groundhog Day. Another Primary another win for the Highbrid endorsed candidates Barack Obama and John McCain. GOP side, front-runner McCain bounced back from a lackluster showing this weekend, sweeping Washington, D.C., Maryland and Virginia thus adding to his delegate lead and making his Republican nomination all but a lock. At this point the McCain camp has already started to shift focus to the Democrats in preparation for the looming general election showdown.
“We know where either of their candidates will lead this country, and we dare not let them,” he told supporters during his victory address in Virginia. “They will paint a picture of the world in which America’s mistakes are a greater threat to our security than the malevolent intentions of an enemy that despises us and our ideals.”
On the Democratic side they didn’t have the luxury of looking ahead. However Senator Obama has commanded a stranglehold of all of the momentum moving past Senator Clinton in the delegate count (1,210. to 1,188) after sweeping the “Potomac Primaries.” The win makes it two consecutive shut outs for Obama and has left the Clinton camp looking for answers. To make matters worse, her deputy campaign manager resigned making it the second departure in as many days.
Does this spell the end for Hillary? Probably not, She’s been campaigning heavily in the state of Texas, a state she’s expected to win convincingly on March 4. And although Obama has clearly grabbed the momentum and is beginning to overcome previous hurdles, both candidates are still well shy of the delegate finish line of the number of delegates required for a nomination. Wisconsin’s up next!
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I don’t think that Hillary’s Ohio and Texas firewall is going to work.
She’ll never concede, of course. As evidenced once again last night, she won’t even acknowledge that elections are happening if she doesn’t win.
Hillary is pinning her hopes on three states: Texas, Pennsylvania and Ohio. These states have a combined 577 delegates.
But the other elections (which Obama will probably win), account for another 735 delegates.
Texas is a must-win for Hillary. Not only must she win, she has to win with enough of a lead to offset the delegate count. So, if she scores 51% and Obama scores 49%, it will do her no good, even though it’s a “win”.
I think it’s pretty certain that neither candidate will hit the 2431 delegates to lock up the nomination. Obama needs to win 1216 of the 1312 up for grabs in the rest of the primaries. (Hillary needs to win 1241 to lock up the nomination).
But I think it’s safe to say that he will surely have a healthy lead going into the convention.
Unless there is back-room trickery (which will kill them), I see no way for Hillary to win this.
Interesting insight. Back Room Deals are probably more likely to happen than either candidate locking up a nomination by reaching the appropriate number of delegates.
if it comes downt o back room deals at the convention Hillary has a definate advantage with Bill on her side. Like I said, they are gonna be trading votes for cabinet positions.
Back Room Deal are unfortunately going to be inevitable.
Unfortuantley it will come down to that type of stuff. I watched a small story earlier and Bill was on the phone talking to this 19 year old Super Delegate. The kid was saying how he received numerous calls from Clinton’s camp and also received deals.
I have a slight understanding of why this stuff matters, but why can’t they just do a straight vote across the nation and decide a winner. There is already speculation that since it will come down to Super Delegates, the one who dosen’t get the nomination will challenge the process as usual.
E.A. its because its a nomination…we’re not electing anyone actually.